Kalshi · American football
orthodox.marmot8453 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 72.2% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 20 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% |
| College Football | 18 | 18 | 13 | 72.2% |
| NFL | 13 | 13 | 7 | 53.8% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| College Baseball | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
orthodox.marmot8453 mainly predicts MLB: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.2% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 82.7%. In MLB, 8 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-28 09:12 UTC+8. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco 49ers 36–30 Arizona Cardinals NFL | SF +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52–28 Ole Miss Rebels College Football | FLA -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Wofford Terriers 38–42 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles College Football | Tennessee Tech wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52–28 Ole Miss Rebels College Football | FLA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20–24 PHI Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17–20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34–41 Mississippi State Bulldogs College Football | Over 58.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34–41 Mississippi State Bulldogs College Football | Mississippi St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8–7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | St. Louis Cardinals 2–1 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | NYG +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | NYG +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39–22 Green Bay NFL | Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Indianapolis Colts 23–41 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore vs Indianapolis Pro Football game: Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers 3–44 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game: Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24–23 Ohio St. College Football | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Clemson Tigers 22–7 Georgia Southern Eagles College Football | CLEM +23.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Clemson Tigers 22–7 Georgia Southern Eagles College Football | CLEM +20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma College Football | Michigan to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21–38 Missouri Tigers College Football | Kansas to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41–38 Louisville Cardinals College Football | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13–12 Western Michigan Broncos College Football | Michigan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | LSU Tigers 51–10 Clemson Tigers College Football | LSU -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34–27 Boise State Broncos College Football | Oregon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Cleveland Guardians 0–11 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Washington Nationals 0–9 Atlanta Braves MLB | ATL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10–15 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | TCU to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Virginia Cavaliers 34–8 North Carolina St. College Football | North Carolina St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10–15 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | Under 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8–7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7–6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Baltimore Orioles 6–7 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4–3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4–3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Mariners 2–4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Chicago Cubs 6–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Boston Red Sox 6–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Minnesota Twins 4–2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Angels 1–8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | North Carolina 6–2 Oklahoma College Baseball | Oklahoma vs North Carolina winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | Auburn Ole Miss College Baseball | Ole Miss vs Auburn winner | Lost |