Kalshi · Basketball · American football
palaybets is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 65.0% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 25 won, 35 lost, 41.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 40 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% |
| WNBA | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| College Football | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Allsvenskan | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
palaybets mainly predicts MLB: 40 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 55.9%. In MLB, 13 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 02:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 23–56 Alabama Crimson Tide College Football | Under 81.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 23–56 Alabama Crimson Tide College Football | Over 57.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13–34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13–34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Under 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13–34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | New York Liberty 109–102 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 7–6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | BK Häcken (BK Hacken) 1–0 Halmstad Allsvenskan | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91–95 Indiana Fever WNBA | ATL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Storm 82–84 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 7–1 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Texas Longhorns 24–23 Ohio St. College Football | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 7–1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx 98–87 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Under 185.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | BOS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 7–3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Cleveland Guardians 6–13 New York Mets MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Washington Mystics 96–92 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 189.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 7–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | TOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 7–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | HOU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 7–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Golden State Valkyries 92–81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 172.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Atlanta Braves 4–2 Miami Marlins MLB | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–9 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Golden State Valkyries 92–81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Over 169.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Colorado Rockies 9–13 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Sky 101–106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Atlanta Dream 87–109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Over 181.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Milwaukee Brewers 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 0–11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3–0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Atlanta Braves 4–2 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 5–0 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 7–3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 8–12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury 92–94 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 174.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Seattle Mariners 3–5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–9 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | San Diego Padres 7–0 San Francisco Giants MLB | SD +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Cleveland Guardians 1–4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Atlanta Dream 98–89 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Athletics 4–5 Boston Red Sox MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Dallas Wings 81–82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 178.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Minnesota Lynx 100–93 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Over 186.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | New York Mets 14–3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | New York Mets 14–3 Atlanta Braves MLB | ATL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington Nationals 2–3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Texas Rangers 7–3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Philadelphia Phillies 11–4 New York Yankees MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Detroit Tigers 4–5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Minnesota Twins 11–8 Athletics MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |