Kalshi · Basketball
plan.thread is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 62.1% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 31 | 31 | 17 | 54.8% |
| WNBA | 25 | 25 | 18 | 72.0% |
| NPB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| LNBP | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
plan.thread mainly predicts MLB: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.1% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 16.2%. In MLB, 17 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-24 10:22 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19–16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Under 37.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Seattle Mariners 2–19 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Dallas Wings 92–70 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 179.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Baltimore Orioles 1–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | New York Liberty 109–102 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 213.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Milwaukee Brewers 4–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Toronto Tempo 82–79 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 172.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Washington Mystics 93–82 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 175.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1–2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Astros 2–3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91–95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 5–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 3–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Reds 1–7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Storm 82–84 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Connecticut Sun 69–104 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Washington Nationals 7–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Chicago WS 8–9 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Golden State Valkyries 91–71 Chicago Sky WNBA | Under 169.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Portland Fire 81–85 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Under 189.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Dallas Wings 94–88 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 185.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Detroit Tigers 6–4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 1–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 7–1 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Sparks 87–94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Chicago WS 4–5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Indiana Fever 106–92 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 200.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Yomiuri Giants 1–9 Hanshin Tigers NPB | Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri Giants winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Chunichi Dragons 5–2 Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Minnesota Twins 9–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7–2 Houston Astros MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 78–84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 162.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx 103–90 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 188.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Mystics 95–75 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 170.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Mystics 95–75 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington Nationals 7–1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Portland Fire 100–93 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 192.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx 98–87 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Under 185.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Dallas Wings 76–94 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 171.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Dallas Wings 76–94 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Mystics 79–74 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 157.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | New York Liberty 92–86 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 6–5 New York Yankees MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Tampa Bay Rays 3–0 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16–3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 14.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Texas Rangers 7–3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Fuerza Regia 95–89 Soles de Mexicali LNBP | Soles de Mexicali vs Fuerza Regia: Soles de Mexicali wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Team Coop 122–129 Team Spoon WNBA | Under 279.5 | Won |