Kalshi · Baseball · American football
pmarsh is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 64.7% win rate, $573 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 32 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 31 have settled: 15 won, 16 lost, 48.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 10 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| College Football | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
pmarsh mainly predicts MLB: 14 of the last 32 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $573, ROI 53.6%. In MLB, 9 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-26 05:27 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29–23 Northwestern Wildcats College Football | Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Philadelphia 6–4 Milwaukee MLB | PHI +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Arizona Cardinals 7–31 SEA Seahawks NFL | SEA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17–10 Oklahoma College Football | Oklahoma to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 49–21 Ohio Bobcats College Football | NEB -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Angels 2–6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Tampa Bay Rays 3–2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16–3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Chicago WS 1–0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Tampa Bay 3–0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | St. Louis 3–4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | St. Louis 3–4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Angels 1–8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Cleveland 6–7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Chicago Cubs 1–17 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | NZL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | SAS -8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico wins 2-0 | Won |