Kalshi · Baseball · Football
pokerfaced is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 64.7% win rate, $508 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 22 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 22 have settled: 13 won, 9 lost, 59.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Valorant | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| CS2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
pokerfaced mainly predicts MLB: 10 of the last 22 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $508, ROI 12.2%. In MLB, 6 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-01 11:14 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Marsborne Overtake CS2 | Marsborne wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Cubs 4–11 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | New England Patriots 13–13 Indianapolis Colts NFL | New England to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Toronto Blue Jays 2–1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Axolotl 1–2 Shopify Rebellion GC Valorant | Axolotl to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Axolotl 1–2 Shopify Rebellion GC Valorant | Shopify Rebellion GC to win | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3–4 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3–4 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Milwaukee Brewers 6–8 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 13–1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | New York Mets 0–4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Texas 6–7 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Texas 10–4 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Connecticut Sun 83–86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Connecticut winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |