Kalshi · Basketball · Football
religiouslock is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 68.8% win rate, $908 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 56 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 23 won, 33 lost, 41.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 27 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| WNBA | 13 | 13 | 9 | 69.2% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| College Football | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
religiouslock mainly predicts MLB: 27 of the last 56 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $908, ROI 39.9%. In MLB, 8 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-08 07:20 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Baltimore Orioles 0–1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Yankees 9–2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3–4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | A's wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3–4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2–0 Bilbao La Liga | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 6–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6–8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Atlanta Braves 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Dallas Wings 96–78 Portland Fire WNBA | 1H Under 89.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 3–3 Al-Riyadh SC (Al-Riyadh) Saudi Professional League | Al-Shabab vs Al-Riyadh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2–3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Minnesota Lynx 66–80 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | MIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles Sparks 77–68 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Under 33.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | 1H Under 90.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–2 Real Madrid La Liga | Final score Real Madrid wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Dallas Wings 91–85 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66–77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | 1H Under 83.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2–3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78–70 Dallas Wings WNBA | 1H Under 74.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Reds 6–5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Phoenix Mercury 85–88 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 172.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 3–4 New York Yankees MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Braves 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3–0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Community Shield | Arsenal FC wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces 83–76 Washington Mystics WNBA | 1H Under 77.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 14–27 Arizona Cardinals NFL | neither team win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Dream 107–95 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5–8 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees 1–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Miami FC 1–2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Miami vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Atlanta Braves 4–1 Miami Marlins MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Baltimore Orioles 3–1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–0 Chicago WS MLB | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | New York Mets 2–5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates 7–8 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Cleveland Guardians 1–3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 0–4 Orlando Major League Soccer | ORL -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire 97–101 Dallas Wings WNBA | DAL +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire 97–101 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 189.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Storm 76–86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6–5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 2–1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0–1 America Liga MX | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Pumas UNAM 0–3 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2–4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Seattle 0–2 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–6 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Arizona Winner | Lost |