Kalshi · Baseball
risk.cat is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 66.7% win rate, $947 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 28 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 28 have settled: 13 won, 15 lost, 46.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 18 | 18 | 12 | 66.7% |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| NPB | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Coppa Italia | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Major League Soccer | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
risk.cat mainly predicts MLB: 18 of the last 28 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $947, ROI 37.5%. In MLB, 12 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-03 00:42 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Udinese Calcio 2–1 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Coppa Italia | Reg Time: Udinese | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3–4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | A's wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Detroit Tigers 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Seattle Mariners 9–2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Philadelphia Phillies 6–4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Austin FC 1–2 FC Dallas Major League Soccer | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1–4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1–2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12–11 Chicago WS MLB | Over 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6–2 Seattle Mariners MLB | LAD +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2–4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0–3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Venezia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Club Necaxa 2–1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Bursa 0–0 FC Shakhtar Donetsk (Shakhtar) Club Friendlies | Bursa vs Shakhtar Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6–10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6–5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Chunichi Dragons 1–3 Hanshin Tigers NPB | Hanshin Tigers vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75–109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Over 193.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Hiroshima Toyo Carp 3–12 Hanshin Tigers NPB | Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Toronto Tempo 80–89 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Over 176.5 | Lost |