Kalshi · American football
road.mouse is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 77.8% win rate, $227 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 38 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 38 have settled: 21 won, 17 lost, 55.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 14 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% |
| College Football | 12 | 12 | 10 | 83.3% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
road.mouse mainly predicts World Cup: 14 of the last 38 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 77.8% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $227, ROI 69.9%. In World Cup, 7 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-24 08:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 2–7 New York Mets MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Boston 1–0 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32–24 LSU Tigers College Football | MISS +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50–36 Florida State Seminoles College Football | FSU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | BUF +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kentucky Wildcats 17–45 Alabama Crimson Tide College Football | ALA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21–38 Missouri Tigers College Football | MIZZ -7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21–38 Missouri Tigers College Football | MIZZ +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21–38 Missouri Tigers College Football | KU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21–38 Missouri Tigers College Football | MIZZ -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | NE +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | SMU +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24–45 UCLA Bruins College Football | Over 63.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24–45 UCLA Bruins College Football | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Alabama Crimson Tide 48–10 East Carolina Pirates College Football | ALA -27.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1–1 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Leeds United vs Brentford Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Tennessee Titans 15–24 Chicago Bears NFL | CHI +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10–15 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | North Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | AZ +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Pittsburgh Steelers 0–17 New York Jets NFL | New York vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game: PIT Steelers wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 5–2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Atlanta 1–5 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | CAN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2–0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2–1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |