Kalshi · Football
sebasredondo9 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 70.0% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 29 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 29 have settled: 18 won, 11 lost, 62.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| La Liga | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| UEFA Nations League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Fifa Friendly | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| UEFA Women's Champions League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
sebasredondo9 mainly predicts World Cup: 6 of the last 29 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 17.2%. In World Cup, 4 of 6 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-26 20:29 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWLL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Fifa Friendly | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Atlético Nacional (Atletico Nacional) 1–1 Millonarios Categoría Primera A | Millonarios wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Turkiye 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–0 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) UEFA Nations League | POR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 3–1 IR Iran Fifa Friendly | Uzbekistan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Bayern 2–2 Manchester City WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Bayern 2–2 Manchester City WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Bayern 2–2 Manchester City WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Bayern wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5–3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona 7–2 Santander La Liga | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona 7–2 Santander La Liga | BAR -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27–13 Miami Dolphins NFL | Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game: Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | BAR +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 1–0 Getafe CF La Liga | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Millonarios 0–0 Internacional de Bogota Categoría Primera A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 5–1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | BMU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | ENG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2–1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | MEX +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 0–2 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Fifa Friendly | Iraq vs Venezuela Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | San Antonio 95–105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-04-06 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |