Kalshi · Baseball
serene.badger3224 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 49 picks, 65.3% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 43 | 43 | 29 | 67.4% |
| WNBA | 13 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Liga Endesa | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
serene.badger3224 mainly predicts MLB: 43 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.3% hit rate over 49 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 33.3%. In MLB, 29 of 43 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-10 22:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | Under 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 1–0 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2–1 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2–3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91–95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Over 199.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Las Vegas Aces 83–76 Washington Mystics WNBA | Under 157.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1–7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Washington Nationals 7–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Francisco Giants 3–6 Houston Astros MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Portland Fire 100–93 Seattle Storm WNBA | Under 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Miami Marlins 7–0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Dallas Wings 76–94 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 162.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Dallas Wings 76–94 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 168.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Texas Rangers 2–1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Portland Fire 97–83 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 190.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Milwaukee Brewers 5–2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Seattle Mariners 4–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Seattle Mariners 0–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 1–4 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington Nationals 2–3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Washington Nationals 10–7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Minnesota Twins 2–0 Athletics MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia Phillies 1–3 New York Yankees MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Miami Marlins 1–4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | San Francisco 4–2 Colorado MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Detroit 2–4 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89–92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 177.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Tampa Bay 4–12 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Baltimore 3–2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Baltimore 3–2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Detroit 4–1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | San Francisco 0–10 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3–4 Colorado MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Connecticut Sun 83–86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Connecticut winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4–7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Washington Mystics 124–123 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Washington winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Detroit 5–7 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Toronto Tempo 80–89 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Milwaukee 3–4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Seattle Storm 99–88 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Seattle Storm 99–88 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Seattle Storm 99–88 New York Liberty WNBA | NY -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | San Diego 7–6 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Colorado 1–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | New York Yankees 1–4 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Colorado 1–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Miami 6–3 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Atlanta 4–3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Boston 3–4 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Valencia BC (Valencia Basket) 112–113 Barcelona Liga Endesa | FC Barcelona vs Valencia Basket Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Athletics 5–0 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Philadelphia 4–6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Texas 3–9 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs Texas Winner | Won |