Kalshi · American football
smard is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 68.4% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 22 | 22 | 13 | 59.1% |
| NFL | 15 | 15 | 9 | 60.0% |
| College Football | 13 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% |
| Liga MX | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Copa Libertadores | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Major League Soccer | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
smard mainly predicts MLB: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.4% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 78.9%. In MLB, 13 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-03 10:44 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33–35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) College Football | Virginia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44–45 North Texas Mean Green College Football | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Atlanta Braves 6–2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4–1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Houston Astros 3–7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3–6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | LSU Tigers 35–6 Texas A&M Aggies College Football | LSU -11.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Marshall Thundering Herd 36–35 Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs College Football | MRSH -21.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10–24 Clemson Tigers College Football | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Brown Bears 10–14 Harvard Crimson College Football | Over 45.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | New Orleans Saints 27–35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14–35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1–5 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Atlanta 3–2 Cincinnati MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Yankees 9–2 Tampa Bay MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4–2 Toronto MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Buffalo Bills 24–16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Philadelphia 1–4 Milwaukee MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7–0 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Atlanta 0–4 Cincinnati MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28–6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 IND Colts NFL | KC +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 IND Colts NFL | KC +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2–3 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 34–7 North Dakota Fighting Hawks College Football | NEB -21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Houston 6–2 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5–4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 3–2 Palmeiras Copa Libertadores | Reg Time: LDU Quito wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 5–1 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2–7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | New York Mets 5–7 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 0–1 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1–5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 0–1 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31–10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14–26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14–26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | LAC +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28–20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 24–45 Tennessee College Football | TENN +20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 0–0 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Monterrey wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Miami FC 2–2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24–23 Ohio St. College Football | Ohio St. to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 5–2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 2–1 Unión de Santa Fe (Union Santa Fe) Liga Profesional | Talleres Cordoba wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kentucky Wildcats 17–45 Alabama Crimson Tide College Football | ALA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0–2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Army Black Knights 24–28 South Florida Bulls College Football | South Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas State Wildcats 34–7 Washington State Cougars College Football | KSU -20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 6–5 Seattle Mariners MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tijuana de Caliente 0–1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Detroit Tigers 6–2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Boston College Eagles 28–21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights College Football | Rutgers wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7–27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13–10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Athletics 2–0 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | A's wins | Lost |