Kalshi · Football
smart.log1 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 56 picks, 64.3% win rate, $390 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 46 | 46 | 28 | 60.9% |
| Major League Soccer | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
smart.log1 mainly predicts World Cup: 46 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.3% hit rate over 56 orders, P&L $390, ROI 17.7%. In World Cup, 28 of 46 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-20 23:38 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Colorado 3–3 Seattle Major League Soccer | Colorado wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | Nashville wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire FC Major League Soccer | NSH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Houston 2–2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Houston 2–2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City 3–4 Philadelphia Major League Soccer | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1–3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0–1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0–1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 1–0 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Dani Olmo: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Team Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Team Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Canada win in Regulation Time | Won |