Kalshi · Baseball · Basketball · American football
thatfckingguyjohnny is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 35 picks, 68.8% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 29 | 29 | 15 | 51.7% |
| MLB | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58.8% |
| NFL | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
thatfckingguyjohnny mainly predicts World Cup: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 38.1%. In World Cup, 15 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 11:43 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6–2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4–1 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9–2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3–4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | SD -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Diego Padres 9–4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30–27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7–0 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | San Francisco 49ers 35–13 MIA Dolphins NFL | Over 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3–9 MIN Vikings NFL | CHI -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | San Francisco 49ers 35–13 MIA Dolphins NFL | SF -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8–2 San Francisco MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41–31 DET Lions NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | San Francisco Giants 6–7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 0–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 0–8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7–6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | SF -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7–6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | NL 0–4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 5–4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Belgium wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico wins 2-0 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay win in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90–94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Los Angeles Angels 2–3 Houston MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111–115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |