Kalshi · Basketball · Football
Public prediction record of thin.tide on Kalshi: 17 entries, 64.7% accuracy. Every pick and outcome listed.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 21 won, 39 lost, 35.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% |
| Premier League | 25 | 25 | 12 | 48.0% |
| EFL Cup | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| The Championship | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| UEFA Champions League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Community Shield | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2–1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Hull City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2–1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Newcastle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Chelsea wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 3–1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 2–4 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 3–1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) EFL Cup | Liverpool To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0–1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0–1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0–2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Sunderland: 4+ corners | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0–2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | ARS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0–2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 0–0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) 1–1 Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) The Championship | Burnley wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) 2–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Champions League | Aston Villa wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 0–0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Hull City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) 1–2 Bristol City F.C. (Bristol City FC) The Championship | Bristol City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 0–0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 1–1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Leeds United wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Nottingham Forest wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2–1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) 1–1 Middlesbrough F.C. (Middlesbrough FC) The Championship | Burnley wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0–1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 4–3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Chelsea vs Brighton Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0–2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Tottenham vs Newcastle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2–1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2–1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | MCI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2–0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Hull City vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3–0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | ARS -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3–0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Community Shield | Arsenal vs Manchester City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA wins 4-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | MEX -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ARG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 2nd Half | Lost |