Polymarket · Basketball · Football
Leafy-Change is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 23 picks, 69.6% win rate, $10K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 23 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 23 have settled: 16 won, 7 lost, 69.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 19 | 19 | 13 | 68.4% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
Leafy-Change mainly predicts World Cup: 19 of the last 23 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.6% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $10K, ROI 35.7%. In World Cup, 13 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-15 12:21 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Canada to win | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Thunder) 103–111 San Antonio Spurs (Spurs) NBA | Spurs to win | Won |
| 2026-05-23 | San Antonio Spurs (Spurs) 103–82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Thunder) NBA | Thunder to win | Won |
| 2026-05-22 | New York Knicks (Knicks) 109–93 Cleveland Cavaliers (Cavaliers) NBA | Knicks to win | Won |
| 2026-05-20 | New York Knicks (Knicks) 115–104 Cleveland Cavaliers (Cavaliers) NBA | Cavaliers to win | Lost |