Polymarket · Basketball · Football
Complicated-Questioner is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 19 picks, 68.4% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 19 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 19 have settled: 13 won, 6 lost, 68.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| NBA | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Serie A | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
Complicated-Questioner mainly predicts World Cup: 10 of the last 19 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.4% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 24.2%. In World Cup, 6 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-20 00:50 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands to advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa to advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Canada to win | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2–0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-02-05 | New York Knicks (Knicks) 134–127 Denver Nuggets (Nuggets) NBA | Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline | Won |
| 2026-02-03 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 0–3 AC Milan Serie A | AC Milan to win | Won |
| 2026-01-01 | Indiana Pacers (Pacers) 110–112 Orlando Magic (Magic) NBA | Magic to win | Won |
| 2026-01-01 | Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) 125–132 Golden State Warriors (Warriors) NBA | Warriors to win | Won |
| 2025-12-29 | Toronto Raptors (Raptors) 141–127 Golden State Warriors (Warriors) NBA | Raptors to win | Won |
| 2025-12-29 | Atalanta BC 0–1 Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) Serie A | FC Internazionale Milano to win | Won |
| 2025-12-29 | Atalanta BC 0–1 Inter Milan (FC Internazionale Milano) Serie A | Atalanta BC to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-26 | Golden State Warriors (Warriors) 126–116 Dallas Mavericks (Mavericks) NBA | Mavericks to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-26 | New York Knicks (Knicks) 126–124 Cleveland Cavaliers (Cavaliers) NBA | Knicks to win | Won |