Polymarket · Football
Hard-Wrong is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 48 picks, 68.8% win rate, $10K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 48 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 48 have settled: 33 won, 15 lost, 68.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 48 | 48 | 33 | 68.8% |
Hard-Wrong mainly predicts World Cup: 48 of the last 48 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $10K, ROI 26.6%. In World Cup, 33 of 48 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-15 03:26 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | United States to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | England -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Côte d'Ivoire to advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Ghana to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Brazil -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | Colombia -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Croatia -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Uruguay to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt to win | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | United States to win | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1–1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Colombia -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | England men's national association football team (England) 4–2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1–1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | Portugal -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana to win | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1–4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2–2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Spain -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2–2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands to win | Won |