Polymarket · Football
Worst-Toreador is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 38 picks, 72.2% win rate, $695 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 38 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 38 have settled: 26 won, 12 lost, 68.4% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 26 | 26 | 17 | 65.4% |
| UEFA Nations League | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
Worst-Toreador mainly predicts World Cup: 26 of the last 38 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.2% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $695, ROI 22.2%. In World Cup, 17 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-02 01:45 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2–1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) UEFA Nations League | Norway to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3–1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) UEFA Nations League | Sweden to win | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) 0–3 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) UEFA Nations League | Switzerland to win | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League | Netherlands to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1–2 Netherlands UEFA Nations League | Netherlands to win | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0–1 France UEFA Nations League | France to win | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1–1 Germany UEFA Nations League | Germany to win | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3–2 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) UEFA Nations League | Norway to win | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 4–0 Lech Poznań (KKS Lech Poznań) UEFA Europa League | Crystal Palace FC vs KKS Lech Poznań O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 4–0 Lech Poznań (KKS Lech Poznań) UEFA Europa League | Crystal Palace FC vs KKS Lech Poznań O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 4–0 Lech Poznań (KKS Lech Poznań) UEFA Europa League | Crystal Palace FC to win | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | AC Milan 0–2 S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) UEFA Europa League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England O/U 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands to advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | France to win | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1–3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | Netherlands -3.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) FIFA World Cup | Germany to win | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco to win | Won |