Polymarket · Football
Elementary-Contrail is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 79 picks, 72.2% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 44 won, 16 lost, 73.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 54 | 54 | 39 | 72.2% |
| La Liga | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Fifa Friendly | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Elementary-Contrail mainly predicts World Cup: 54 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.2% hit rate over 79 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 30.5%. In World Cup, 39 of 54 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-25 20:06 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Fifa Friendly | Australia vs Brazil O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Valencia CF 2–3 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Valencia CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 2–1 Real Madrid La Liga | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) 0–3 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) 0–3 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1–1 Sevilla La Liga | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Sevilla FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1–0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | France 0–2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | France 3–0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | corners 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Germany 1–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2–1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | corners 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | corners 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | corners 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0–0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Saudi Arabia O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Netherlands 5–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Lost |