Kalshi · Basketball · Football
wound.leaf is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 49 picks, 87.8% win rate, $219 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 15 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% |
| Fifa Friendly | 10 | 10 | 9 | 90.0% |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| UEFA Nations League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| LNB Elite | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
wound.leaf mainly predicts World Cup: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 87.8% hit rate over 49 orders, P&L $219, ROI 14.7%. In World Cup, 8 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-01 05:56 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Cienciano 1–1 Los Chankas CYC Liga 1 | Cienciano wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Cienciano 1–1 Los Chankas CYC Liga 1 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Paris FC W 2–2 Arsenal WFC UEFA Women's Champions League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Belize 0–1 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines CONCACAF Nations League | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Ind. Medellin 2–2 Millonarios Categoría Primera A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | USA 4–2 Chile Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 0–0 Belarus men's national football team (Belarus) UEFA Nations League | Finland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0–0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) UEFA Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) 2–3 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) UEFA Nations League | Montenegro wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28–6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Toronto Blue Jays 3–5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2–3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Fulham vs Chelsea Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | AS Monaco 77–88 Paris Basketball LNB Elite | Paris Basketball vs AS Monaco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Alba Berlin 71–61 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Basketball Bundesliga | Bayern Munich vs Alba Berlin Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Indiana Fever 101–108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1–3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | COL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1–0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | 7+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3–1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1–1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Basket Zielona Góra (Basket Zielona Gora) 85–73 Legia Warsaw (Legia Warszawa) PLK | Legia Warszawa vs Basket Zielona Gora Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0–0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Louisville City FC 2–2 Brooklyn FC USL Championship | Louisville City vs Brooklyn FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4–1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 86–79 Alba Berlin Basketball Bundesliga | Alba Berlin vs Bayern Munich Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Indiana Fever 114–106 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107–106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Toronto Tempo 106–102 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | England men's national association football team (England) 3–0 Costa Rica Fifa Friendly | England vs Costa Rica Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Fifa Friendly | Portugal vs Nigeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Valencia BC (Valencia Basket) 118–117 Club Joventut Badalona Liga Endesa | Club Joventut Badalona vs Valencia Basket Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | Valencia BC (Valencia Basket) 118–117 Club Joventut Badalona Liga Endesa | Club Joventut Badalona vs Valencia Basket Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | BC UNICS (BC Uniks Kazan) 76–102 CSKA Moscow VTB United League | CSKA Moscow vs BC Uniks Kazan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Fifa Friendly | Argentina vs Iceland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Chicago Sky 75–82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Chicago winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | France women's national football team (France W) 1–0 Ireland W UEFA Women’s World Cup Qualification | France vs Ireland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet Basket 91–94 Paris Basketball LNB Elite | Paris Basketball vs Cholet Basket Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Hapoel Jerusalem 84–88 Hapoel Tel Aviv (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) Israel Super League | Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Barak Netanya (Elitzur Netanya) 84–91 Ironi Nes Ziona B.C. (Ironi Ness Ziona) Israel Super League | Ironi Ness Ziona vs Elitzur Netanya Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Indonesia men's national football team (Indonesia) 1–0 Mozambique men's national football team (Mozambique) Fifa Friendly | Indonesia vs Mozambique Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Indonesia men's national football team (Indonesia) 1–0 Mozambique men's national football team (Mozambique) Fifa Friendly | Indonesia vs Mozambique Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | China men's national football team (China PR) 0–0 Thailand Fifa Friendly | China PR vs Thailand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | Nanterre 92 78–89 AS Monaco LNB Elite | AS Monaco vs Nanterre 92 Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | Netherlands 2–1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) Fifa Friendly | Netherlands vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Reyer Venezia Mestre (Reyer Venezia) 89–85 Virtus Bologna Basketball Series A | Virtus Bologna vs Reyer Venezia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Dubai Basketball KK Partizan (KK Partizan Belgrade) ABA League | KK Partizan Belgrade vs Dubai Basketball Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Birmingham Legion FC 1–1 Louisville City FC USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC vs Louisville City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-03 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0–1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Fifa Friendly | Luxembourg vs Italy Winner | Won |