Kalshi · Basketball · Football
blackswann is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 58 picks, 81.5% win rate, $357 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 41 won, 18 lost, 69.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 38 | 38 | 28 | 73.7% |
| MLB | 21 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
blackswann mainly predicts World Cup: 38 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 81.5% hit rate over 58 orders, P&L $357, ROI 24.2%. In World Cup, 28 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-11 02:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2–1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | St. Louis 4–8 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | France 2–0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2–1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 3–2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2–1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Baltimore 9–3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Philadelphia 8–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Milwaukee 2–7 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Colorado 7–10 Miami MLB | Miami vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Houston 4–5 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1–1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Toronto 0–3 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Cleveland 2–4 Texas MLB | Texas vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Boston 1–8 Washington MLB | Washington vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | San Diego 7–1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Las Vegas Aces 99–84 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | St. Louis Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Pending |
| 2026-06-25 | Toronto 4–5 Texas MLB | Texas vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Washington 5–10 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Boston 6–1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | San Francisco 6–9 Athletics MLB | A's vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 5–1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Tampa Bay 13–2 Kansas City MLB | Kansas City vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colorado 2–5 Boston MLB | Boston vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3–3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3–1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0–0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2–1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1–1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0–1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0–0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5–0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 1–3 Netherlands FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Netherlands Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1–1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Miami 4–2 Texas MLB | Texas vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3–1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Toronto 7–9 Houston MLB | Houston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1–3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |