Categoría Primera A ·
AD Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 03:00 SGT (Categoría Primera A): 8 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 57% backing AD Pasto to win. Prediction-market win probability: AD Pasto 43%, the draw 32%, Fortaleza CEIF 28% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: AD Pasto 43% · Draw 32% · Fortaleza CEIF 28% (updated )
AD Pasto is the prediction-market favourite at 43% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-04 12:06 UTC+8). Of 7 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 4 (57%) back AD Pasto to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at <50% won 43% of 1983 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 12:06 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: AD Pasto 43% · Draw 32% · Fortaleza CEIF 28%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
8 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AD Pasto 4 (57%) · Draw 0 (0%) · Fortaleza CEIF 3 (43%).
AD Pasto, last 4: L W W D. Fortaleza CEIF, last 5: D L D D L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 12:06 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
8 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: AD Pasto to win 4 (57%) · the draw 0 (0%) · Fortaleza CEIF to win 3 (43%).
| 2026-09-26 | vs Boyaca Chico | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Once Caldas | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-15 | vs America de Cali | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-27 | vs CD La Equidad Seguros | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Tolima | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Junior | 1-4 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Jaguares de Córdoba | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Independ. Santa Fe | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-02 | vs Once Caldas | 1-2 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | Fortaleza FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | PAS -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | PAS -1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | Both Teams To Score | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | AD Pasto to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | christrill Polymarket | AD Pasto to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | AD Pasto to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Flaznorp Polymarket | AD Pasto to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | AD Pasto to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Dirty-Normalization Polymarket | AD Pasto to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Fortaleza FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | ValiBB Polymarket | AD Pasto to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | ValiBB Polymarket | Fortaleza FC to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | doador Polymarket | AD Pasto to win | Pending |