UEFA Nations League ·
Netherlands vs Serbia prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 02:45 SGT (UEFA Nations League): 30 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 53% backing Netherlands to win. Prediction-market win probability: Netherlands 86%, the draw 11%, Serbia 5% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: Netherlands 86% · Draw 11% · Serbia 5% (updated )
Netherlands is the prediction-market favourite at 86% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-04 11:17 UTC+8). Of 15 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 8 (53%) back Netherlands to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 71% of 900 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 11:17 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: Netherlands 86% · Draw 11% · Serbia 5%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
30 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Netherlands 8 (53%) · Draw 4 (27%) · Serbia 3 (20%).
Netherlands, last 5: D W D D W. Serbia, last 5: L L L L L.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 11:17 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
30 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Netherlands to win 8 (53%) · the draw 4 (27%) · Serbia to win 3 (20%).
| 2026-10-02 | vs Greece | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Serbia | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Germany | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-06-30 | vs Morocco | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-06-26 | vs Tunisia | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Germany | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Netherlands | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Greece | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-06-05 | vs Mexico | 1-5 | L |
| 2026-05-31 | vs Cape Verde | 0-3 | L |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Oinky Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Macunireal Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Soupy-Perfume Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | ItsHosseinooo Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands vs Serbia O/U 0.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | both teams to score | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | evanng Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | ItsHosseinooo Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | 3344sats Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | sbsigner Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | waltrapa Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | 0xe314…fa2c Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | k-maniac Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Carefree-Significance Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | ReiToto Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | nigiri99 Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | benjammin29 Kalshi | NED -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | baggins178 Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | k-maniac Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | 3344sats Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | pjotrekkk Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | cosmicsteaks Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | andersonadn10 Polymarket | Netherlands -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Oddstorm Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | senyama Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | metaambrose Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands -2.5 spread | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | 0x863d…4df7 Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | 0x863d…4df7 Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Oddstorm Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Splendid-Complexity Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Spiteful-Outlook Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | mooseborzoi Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | youcanbuythisbot Polymarket | Serbia to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | dersh.gersh Kalshi | Serbia wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Ribalovvv Polymarket | Netherlands to win | Pending |