Categoría Primera B ·
CD Real Santander vs Union Magdalena prediction for 4 Oct 2026, 04:30 SGT (Categoría Primera B): 18 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 50% backing Union Magdalena to win. Prediction-market win probability: CD Real Santander 35%, the draw 30%, Union Magdalena 38% (Polymarket). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Polymarket chances: CD Real Santander 35% · Draw 30% · Union Magdalena 38% (updated )
The prediction market sees this as close: CD Real Santander 35% · Draw 30% · Union Magdalena 38% (Polymarket, as of 2026-10-04 04:25 UTC+8). Of 6 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 3 (50%) back Union Magdalena to win. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 04:25 UTC+8, Polymarket shows: CD Real Santander 35% · Draw 30% · Union Magdalena 38%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
18 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: CD Real Santander 1 (17%) · Draw 2 (33%) · Union Magdalena 3 (50%).
CD Real Santander, last 5: D D L D W. Union Magdalena, last 5: D W L L W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 04:25 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
18 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: CD Real Santander to win 1 (17%) · the draw 2 (33%) · Union Magdalena to win 3 (50%).
| 2026-09-27 | vs Tigres FC | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-23 | vs Orsomarso SC | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-14 | vs Boca Juniors de Cali | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Deportes Quindio | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Internacional FC De Palmira | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Real Cartagena FC | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Boyaca Patriotas | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Real Cundinamarca | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Barranquilla FC | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-02 | vs Envigado FC | 1-0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | pedroeth Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | emacron Polymarket | CD Real Santander to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | BBCsaLainari Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | emacron Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | sarkozin73 Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | 00HE Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | VD721lsj4938Dk388 Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | emacron Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | LeLynxMalynx Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Lionel.melk Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | leigo Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | gajinboo Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Flaznorp Polymarket | CD Real Santander to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | SantaCruzSAF Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | lagoa Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | Zareks Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | tradecraft Polymarket | draw | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | tradecraft Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | IAmDoom Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | gpimente407 Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-03 | ThiagoB Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | VeryLucky888 Polymarket | CD Real Santander to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | doador Polymarket | CD Real Santander to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | doador Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | WatchTheTape Polymarket | Union Magdalena to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | WatchTheTape Polymarket | CD Real Santander to win | Pending |