CS2 ·
Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere prediction for 5 Oct 2026, 00:30 SGT (CS2). Prediction-market win probability: Team Vitality 75%, Natus Vincere 25% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and real positions of profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi.
Latest Kalshi chances: Team Vitality 75% · Natus Vincere 25% (updated )
Team Vitality is the prediction-market favourite at 75% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-04 11:01 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at ≥75% won 71% of 900 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 11:01 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Team Vitality 75% · Natus Vincere 25%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Team Vitality, last 5: W L W W W. Natus Vincere, last 5: W L L L L. Head-to-head, last 4 meetings (Team Vitality wins – draws – Natus Vincere wins): 4-0-0; latest 2026-08-22: Team Vitality 2-1 Natus Vincere.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 11:01 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
| 2026-10-03 | vs 1win | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs BNK FEARX | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs LOUD | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Global Esports | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Aurora Gaming | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs G2 | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs RED Canids | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Team Nemesis | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | vs 1win | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Yandex | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | Team Vitality | 2-1 | Natus Vincere |
| 2026-08-21 | Natus Vincere | 1-2 | Team Vitality |
| 2026-07-18 | Natus Vincere | 1-2 | Team Vitality |
| 2026-04-04 | Natus Vincere | 0-2 | Team Vitality |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | james.lancaster Kalshi | Vitality wins | Pending |