ESL Pro League ·
Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming prediction for 4 Oct 2026, 19:30 SGT (ESL Pro League): 4 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions. Prediction-market win probability: Team Falcons 60%, Aurora Gaming 40% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Team Falcons 60% · Aurora Gaming 40% (updated )
Team Falcons is the prediction-market favourite at 60% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-04 16:30 UTC+8). In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 60–75% won 58% of 1683 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-04 16:30 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Team Falcons 60% · Aurora Gaming 40%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
Team Falcons, last 5: W L W W W. Aurora Gaming, last 5: W L W W W.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-04 16:30 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
4 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro.
| 2026-10-03 | vs TYLOO | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | vs ZETA DIVISION | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Spacestation Gaming | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-09-21 | vs Karmine Corp | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs NRG Esports | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | vs 9z | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Team Vitality | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Team Vitality | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-18 | vs NRG | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-17 | vs Natus Vincere | 2-0 | W |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Lakersfan111 Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Kaito.eth Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | bomb88oclaat Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | bomb88oclaat Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Stickman22 Polymarket | Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Stickman22 Polymarket | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | austinclay Kalshi | Aurora Gaming wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | Jordannicoli Kalshi | Over 2.5 maps | Pending |