Kalshi · Football
brown.leaf is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 66.7% win rate, $795 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 28 won, 30 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 12 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% |
| WNBA | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| CS2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| NFL | 5 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NBA Summer League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
brown.leaf mainly predicts MLB: 12 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $795, ROI 19.5%. In MLB, 3 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-22 18:18 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Bushido Wildcats 2:0 Rune Eaters European Pro League (CS2) | Rune Eaters wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3:9 MIN Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New England Patriots 20:3 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | M80 1:2 3DMAX Logitech G Play Connect | 3DMAX wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | G2 Ares 1:2 Brute NODWIN Clutch Series | G2 Ares wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | KT Rolster Challengers 3:2 Dplus KIA Challengers LCK Challengers League | Dplus KIA Challengers wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Cagliari Calcio 1:0 US Lecce Serie A | Cagliari wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Phantom 0:2 Sinners CS2 | Sinners wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Cincinnati Reds 12:8 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Nuclear TigeRES 0:2 NIP CS2 | NIP wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | FOKUS 2:1 HOTU CS2 | FOKUS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Invictus Gaming 3:2 Top Esports LPL | Top Esports wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | G2 0:2 Team Falcons CS2 | G2 wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Baltimore Orioles 5:6 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Eternal Fire 0:2 Nuclear TigeRES CS2 | Eternal Fire wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Nemiga 0:2 K27 CS2 | K27 wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Kansas City Chiefs 9:9 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Pending |
| 2026-08-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 9:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Chicago Cubs 8:10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | ex-RUSTEC 2:1 Sashi Esport CS2 | ex-RUSTEC wins | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 1:0 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | New York Yankees 3:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Kansas City Royals 3:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Boston Red Sox 6:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Golden State Valkyries 82:90 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 8:5 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians 13:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Indiana Fever 110:107 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Chicago Sky 96:82 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 185.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Dallas Wings 98:99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Chicago Fire FC Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Winner | Pending |
| 2026-07-16 | Chicago 82:105 Los Angeles Lakers NBA Summer League | LAL +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Washington winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Oklahoma 87:97 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Dallas to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Chicago winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Connecticut Sun 90:87 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86:75 Detroit NBA Summer League | DET -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Milwaukee 80:90 San Antonio NBA Summer League | MIL -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Connecticut Sun 80:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Golden State Valkyries 76:67 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Golden State winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Toronto Tempo 80:89 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | COL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | POR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | BEL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |