Kalshi · Football
cat.sum is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 62 picks, 72.6% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| Champions League | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| Premier League | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| WNBA | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
cat.sum mainly predicts World Cup: 12 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.6% hit rate over 62 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 20.3%. In World Cup, 8 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-20 21:51 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Atletico 2:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Atletico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | UCLA Bruins 52:38 Purdue Boilermakers NCAAF | UCLA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Jose St. 10:26 Fresno State Bulldogs NCAAF | Fresno St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Auburn Tigers 39:44 Florida Gators NCAAF | Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:3 Villarreal CF La Liga | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | PFC Levski Sofia (PFK Levski Sofia) 0:1 FC Red Bull Salzburg (Salzburg) Europa League | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Ulsan HD FC 2:1 Incheon Utd Korea K League 1 | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Jeonbuk FC 1:2 FC Seoul Korea K League 1 | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tijuana de Caliente 0:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | New Mexico United 2:2 Indy Eleven USL Championship | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Club Necaxa 0:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Boca Juniors 3:1 Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Ind. del Valle 0:2 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 2:0 Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) Brasileiro Serie B | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 2:0 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | C.F. Estrela da Amadora (Estrela Amadora) 2:1 S.C. Braga (SC Braga) Liga Portugal | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) 2:3 R.C. Lens (Lens) Champions League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) 2:3 R.C. Lens (Lens) Champions League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 1:1 AS Roma Champions League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CP 3:1 Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) Champions League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:1 Atletico Champions League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:1 Atletico Champions League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:1 Atletico Champions League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 3:2 Villarreal CF Champions League | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 3:2 Villarreal CF Champions League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 3:2 Villarreal CF Champions League | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Champions League | Aston Villa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Michigan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17:16 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Baylor wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 0:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Final score Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 0:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 4:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Brentford FC wins 2-0 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Brentford FC wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Premier League | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Under 32.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | 1H Over 74.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Courtney Williams: 10+ points | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Toronto Tempo 95:101 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Toronto women's Pro Basketball game: Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | America 3:0 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Washington Mystics 81:75 Dallas Wings WNBA | WSH +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | LA Galaxy 0:3 Los Angeles FC MLS | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90:99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Miami to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France wins 2-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |