Kalshi · Football
check.tooth is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 25 picks, 68.0% win rate, $510 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 41 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 41 have settled: 21 won, 20 lost, 51.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 30 | 30 | 18 | 60.0% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
check.tooth mainly predicts World Cup: 30 of the last 41 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.0% hit rate over 25 orders, P&L $510, ROI 37.6%. In World Cup, 18 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-08 10:58 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | ND -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | DET -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Detroit 8:0 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | URU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | BEL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | MAR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | CAN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | SUI +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | SAS -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 103:111 San Antonio NBA | Over 213.5 | Lost |