Kalshi · Football
drunk.sweat is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 58 picks, 72.4% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 34 | 34 | 23 | 67.6% |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
| Saudi Pro League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Scottish Premiership | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| MLS | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
drunk.sweat mainly predicts World Cup: 34 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.4% hit rate over 58 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 24.1%. In World Cup, 23 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-26 16:47 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Borneo F.C. Samarinda (Borneo Samarinda) Madura United F.C. (Madura United) Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Al-Riyadh SC (Al-Riyadh) 0:4 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Al-Feiha FC (Al-Fayha) 0:3 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) Saudi Pro League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 2:2 Viking FK Champions League | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Tokyo Verdy 1:3 Kashiwa Reysol (Kashiwa) Japan J1 League | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) 1:1 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Europa League | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) 0:1 Al Ahli Saudi Club Saudi Pro League | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Palmeiras 1:1 Cerro Porteño (Cerro Porteno) CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 2:1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Super Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Girona B 1:2 Sant Andreu Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:3 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 2:1 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 2:5 SV Elversberg (Elversberg) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) 1:0 Dundee F.C. (Dundee FC) Scottish Premiership | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) 1:0 Dundee F.C. (Dundee FC) Scottish Premiership | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 3:1 MC Algiers (MC Alger) Club Friendlies | Al-Shabab vs MC Alger Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 3:3 Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 3:2 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Queretaro vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Montreal 0:0 Toronto FC MLS | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 167.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | GER -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |