Kalshi · Football
jr.substantial.leopard is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 26 picks, 80.8% win rate, $210 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 46 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 45 have settled: 26 won, 19 lost, 57.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 41 | 41 | 23 | 56.1% |
| Leagues Cup | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| EFL Cup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
jr.substantial.leopard mainly predicts World Cup: 41 of the last 46 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 80.8% hit rate over 26 orders, P&L $210, ROI 36.8%. In World Cup, 23 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-15 10:32 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Pending |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Tie 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | America 2:0 Columbus Crew (Columbus) Leagues Cup | America vs Columbus: America To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:0 Austin FC Leagues Cup | Toluca vs Austin: Toluca To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 3:2 West Bromwich Albion F.C. (West Bromwich) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |