Kalshi · Basketball
millionguy is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 35 picks, 65.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 22 won, 36 lost, 37.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 17 | 17 | 11 | 64.7% |
| Chinese Super League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Bundesliga 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NCAAF | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Premier League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
millionguy mainly predicts NBA: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.7% hit rate over 35 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 47.1%. In NBA, 11 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Charlotte Hornets 115:110 Miami Heat NBA | Miami wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Vicente Barcelos 0:1 FC Porto Liga Portugal | Porto wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Alabama Crimson Tide 31:20 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | Texas A&M wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Florida Atlantic Owls 51:49 Rice Owls NCAAF | Rice wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Chengdu Rongcheng F.C. (Chengdu Rongcheng) 0:1 Dalian Yingbo F.C. (Dalian Yingbo FC) Chinese Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Qingdao Qingchundao F.C. (Qingdao West Coast FC) 1:1 Yunnan Yukun F.C. (Yunnan Yukun) Chinese Super League | Qingdao West Coast FC wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Henan F.C. (Henan FC) 3:4 Beijing Guoan Chinese Super League | Beijing Guoan wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Kashima Antlers (Kashima) 2:3 Kashiwa Reysol (Kashiwa) Japan J1 League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | FC Seoul 1:1 Gangwon FC Korea K League 1 | Seoul wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Golden State Warriors 108:111 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Golden State Warriors 108:111 Memphis Grizzlies NBA | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0:1 San Luis Liga MX | Atlante wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets NBA | San Antonio wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Miami Heat (Heat) 111:128 Detroit Pistons NBA | DET -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | MIN -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Boston Celtics 107:103 New York Knicks NBA | New York wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | 1H Under 117.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | PSG W 1:0 Montpellier W French Women's Première Ligue | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | IF Elfsborg 0:0 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Malmo wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | VfL Bochum 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga 2 | Wolfsburg wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) 2:3 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) Saudi Pro League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) 2:3 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) Saudi Pro League | Al Hilal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | VfL Bochum 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga 2 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Gia Lai 0:2 Nghe An Vietnam V-League 1 | Nghe An wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Brisbane 2:1 Perth A-League Men | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Brisbane 2:1 Perth A-League Men | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Oaxaca 2:1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo Liga de Expansion MX | Oaxaca wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Oaxaca 2:1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo Liga de Expansion MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Over 61.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | Cleveland wins the 2nd quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | CLE -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC (CONG AN) 1:1 Thanh Hoa Vietnam V-League 1 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Madura United F.C. (Madura United) 1:0 Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Makassar 1:0 Persebaya Indonesia Super League | Persebaya wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:2 Club Tijuana Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Houston Rockets 128:110 Dallas Mavericks NBA | HOU +19.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | New Orleans Pelicans 120:123 Indiana Pacers NBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 2:0 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Reg Time: Atletico Mineiro wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Brooklyn FC 1:2 Birmingham Legion FC USL Championship | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Trabzonspor 2:0 Besiktas Super Lig | Besiktas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | AC Monza 4:0 Cagliari Calcio Serie A | Cagliari wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | El Gouna FC (El Gouna) 0:2 Smouha SC (Smouha) Egyptian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | GB -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Levante UD La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Huancayo 2:1 Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 | Cusco wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Cottbus 1:1 Nuremberg Bundesliga 2 | Nuremberg wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Atalanta BC (Atalanta) 3:1 Pafos FC (Pafos) Conference League | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | LASK Linz (LASK) 3:6 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | LASK Linz (LASK) 3:6 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | LFC -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Umraniye 0:1 Bolu TFF 1. Lig | Bolu wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Umraniye 0:1 Bolu TFF 1. Lig | Umraniye wins | Pending |