Kalshi · Football
mr.fade is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 84.2% win rate, $216 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 51 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 51 have settled: 31 won, 20 lost, 60.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 27 | 20 | 74.1% |
| NCAAF | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| NFL | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
mr.fade mainly predicts World Cup: 27 of the last 51 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 84.2% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $216, ROI 54.5%. In World Cup, 20 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 00:32 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Oklahoma Sooners 13:21 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | Kentucky wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Alabama wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:24 Tennessee NCAAF | Arkansas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Florida Gators 19:38 South Carolina Gamecocks NCAAF | FLA -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Missouri Tigers 45:17 Florida Gators NCAAF | Florida wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kenneth Walker: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL Falcons 3:34 CAR Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL Ravens 17:24 New Orleans Saints NFL | Derrick Henry: 1st Touchdown | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | Saquon Barkley: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Auburn Tigers 39:44 Florida Gators NCAAF | Auburn wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50:36 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | ALA -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:41 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | Mississippi St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:45 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | UGA -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:45 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | UGA -24.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Jake Ferguson: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Jaxson Dart: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Minnesota 13:38 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | MSST -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | BRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Qatar Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ESP +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |