Kalshi · Football
pond.fund is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 92 picks, 68.5% win rate, $9K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| Intl Friendlies | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| USL Championship | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
pond.fund mainly predicts Nations League: 9 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.5% hit rate over 92 orders, P&L $9K, ROI 59.0%. In Nations League, 6 of 9 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-07 08:37 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Amon-Ra St. Brown: 80+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Lights FC (Las Vegas Lights) 1:0 San Antonio FC USL Championship | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Lights FC (Las Vegas Lights) 1:0 San Antonio FC USL Championship | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Lights FC (Las Vegas Lights) 1:0 San Antonio FC USL Championship | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USC Trojans 25:21 Washington NCAAF | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tampa Bay 1:2 Miami FC USL Championship | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Miami (OH) RedHawks 20:24 Bowling Green Falcons NCAAF | Miami (OH) wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Missouri Tigers 45:17 Florida Gators NCAAF | Florida wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) 0:2 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) Nations League | Switzerland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) 3:1 Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3:3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Helmond 2:2 Heracles Almelo Eerste Divisie | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Karlbergs 3:2 Sollentuna Ettan | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Karlbergs 3:2 Sollentuna Ettan | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Karlbergs 3:2 Sollentuna Ettan | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 1:2 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 1:2 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1:2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) Nations League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | China men's national football team (China PR) 0:5 Palestine men's national football team (Palestine) Intl Friendlies | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | Over 72.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | DK Metcalf: 80+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | DK Metcalf: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Aaron Rodgers: 225+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 1:0 Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Virgin Islands, U.S. 0:5 Saint-Martin CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Ireland 2:2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Team Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:4 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | FK Austria Wien W 1:1 Inter Milano W Women's Champions League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | FK Austria Wien W 1:1 Inter Milano W Women's Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | FK Austria Wien W 1:1 Inter Milano W Women's Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Guinea men's national basketball team (Guinea) 1:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) AFCON | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 4:1 Syria men's national basketball team (Syria) Intl Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | AIK 1:1 Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) Allsvenskan | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) 1:2 Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Sao Paulo 1:1 Boca Juniors CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) 1:2 Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | América de Cali (America Cali) 0:1 Pasto Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Unión La Calera (Union La Calera) 1:0 Club de Deportes Limache (Deportes Limache) Chile Liga de Primera | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Uni Catolica 2:1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Travis Kelce: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Unión La Calera (Union La Calera) 1:0 Club de Deportes Limache (Deportes Limache) Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Unión La Calera (Union La Calera) 1:0 Club de Deportes Limache (Deportes Limache) Chile Liga de Primera | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 1:3 Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Club Atlético Banfield (Banfield) 1:1 Barracas Argentina Primera Division | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Esteghlal 3:0 Al Sadd Sports Club (Al Sadd) AFC Champions League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Al-Shamal 1:1 Al Ittihad AFC Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 2:1 Juarez Liga MX | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Libertad Loja 2:3 Ind. del Valle Ecuador LigaPro | Over 5.5 | Lost |