Kalshi · Football
sbblegoat is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 65.2% win rate, $497 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 35 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 35 have settled: 22 won, 13 lost, 62.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 25 | 25 | 15 | 60.0% |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| VCT Masters London | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
sbblegoat mainly predicts World Cup: 25 of the last 35 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.2% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $497, ROI 30.5%. In World Cup, 15 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-15 04:24 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Utah 80:63 Chicago NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Luis Diaz: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Kansas City 2:4 Texas MLB | Texas vs Kansas City First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Toronto 4:7 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Toronto First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Chicago WS 2:1 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs Chicago WS First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Tajikistan men's national football team (Tajikistan) 1:1 India men's national football team (India) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) 5:1 Myanmar men's national football team (Myanmar) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) Intl Friendlies | Croatia vs Slovenia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | FUT Esports 2:0 FULL SENSE VCT Masters London | FULL SENSE to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-27 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 127:114 San Antonio NBA | Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner | Lost |