Kalshi · Football
sea.cake is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 128 picks, 61.6% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% |
| Champions League | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| MLS | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
sea.cake mainly predicts World Cup: 18 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.6% hit rate over 128 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 19.1%. In World Cup, 7 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-22 04:10 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 3:1 Viking FK Champions League | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Lille OSC (Lille) 2:4 Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) Champions League | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Florida International Panthers 23:26 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders NCAAF | FIU -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | SAS +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | NYK -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Sabah Masazir 1:2 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Tulane Green Wave 31:17 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | 1H Under 20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Liquid 1:2 NIP CS2 | Liquid wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Under 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | FURIA 2:1 Legacy CS2 | Legacy wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 3:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles FC 3:1 Austin FC MLS | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles FC 3:1 Austin FC MLS | Los Angeles F wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Bodoe/Glimt 1:0 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Champions League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | LASK Linz (LASK) 3:6 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Atletico 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Champions League | Atletico wins 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Inter Milan (Inter) 3:4 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) Champions League | Team Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Baylor Bears 23:13 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Under 32.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Inter Milan (Inter) 5:3 Udinese Calcio Serie A | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 20:13 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game: Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 1:1 AS Roma Champions League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | TYLOO 0:2 Alliance FISSURE Playground | Alliance wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Cal Poly Mustangs 38:34 Idaho Vandals NCAAF | Cal Poly wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Santander 3:2 Elche CF La Liga | 1H Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Connecticut Sun 64:89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS -31.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 FC Cincinnati MLS | 1H Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Nashville SC 1:0 Atlanta United FC MLS | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Seattle 1:5 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago Sky 95:90 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Chicago winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Connecticut Sun 90:87 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 172.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt win in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |