Kalshi · Football
shrill.falcon4645 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 62.5% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 55 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 53 have settled: 30 won, 23 lost, 56.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 19 | 19 | 12 | 63.2% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| MLB | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| NBA Summer League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
shrill.falcon4645 mainly predicts World Cup: 19 of the last 55 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 77.8%. In World Cup, 12 of 19 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-22 11:13 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5:2 Minnesota MLB | SF +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 40+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Devin Singletary: 10+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Over 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Davante Adams: 2+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Kyren Williams: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | New York J wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 San Francisco Giants MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Cleveland Guardians 6:3 Chicago WS MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Edmonton Elks 40:17 Ottawa Redblacks CFL | Edmonton Elks to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Golden 98:69 San Antonio NBA Summer League | Golden State Gold to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 91:85 Golden State Blue NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 93:91 Miami NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | LG Twins 5:3 Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO | Over 9.5 | Pending |
| 2026-07-05 | KT Wiz 4:2 Lotte Giants Korea KBO | Lotte Giants vs KT Wiz winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Orix Buffaloes 3:1 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions vs Orix Buffaloes winner | Pending |
| 2026-07-04 | Las Vegas Aces 68:84 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Oklahoma 74:111 Memphis NBA Summer League | Oklahoma City to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Golden 83:97 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Golden State Blue to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Cincinnati 2:3 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Washington 1:7 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Texas 0:3 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Seattle Storm 72:77 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Kansas City 2:5 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Phoenix Mercury 90:67 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Golden State Valkyries 77:66 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Las Vegas Aces 92:73 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 167.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | MAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Golden State Valkyries 75:81 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Over 166.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | MEX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Atlanta Dream 113:96 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | BIH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Club Universidad de Chile (U de Chile) 2:0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) Chile Liga de Primera | U de Chile vs O´Higgins Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Chicago Sky 95:96 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Chicago winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Golden State Valkyries 78:58 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Jalen Brunson: 30+ points | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |