Kalshi · Football
sparkster is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 25 picks, 76.0% win rate, $9K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 31 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 31 have settled: 22 won, 9 lost, 71.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 29 | 29 | 22 | 75.9% |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Japan NPB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
sparkster mainly predicts World Cup: 29 of the last 31 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.0% hit rate over 25 orders, P&L $9K, ROI 22.8%. In World Cup, 22 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-02 04:58 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Atlanta 1:5 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | CRO +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | ESP -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows 1:2 Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB | Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | BRA +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | BRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |