Kalshi · Basketball
strict.guest is a Liga MX pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 82.3% win rate, $437 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| WNBA | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| NBA Summer League | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
strict.guest mainly predicts Liga MX: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 82.3% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $437, ROI 30.6%. In Liga MX, 4 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-24 10:21 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:3 Miami MLB | MIA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 2:0 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Seattle wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Arsenal Women 1:0 Koege Women's Champions League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Davante Adams: 2+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 4:3 Toronto MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Sparks 105:84 Portland Fire WNBA | LA +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | North Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Aston Villa record the first goal of the game | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Morgan Rogers: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Jared Goff: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 0:1 Valencia La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:0 G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril) Liga Portugal | Braga wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 20:13 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Rico Dowdle: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Boise State Broncos 38:20 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | BSU +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Tijuana de Caliente 0:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Kiwoom Heroes 3:2 SSG Landers Korea KBO | SSG Landers wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Udinese Calcio 1:1 Como 1907 Serie A | Udinese vs Como Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Puebla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Seattle 0:2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Seattle vs Vancouver Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Dream 91:95 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | America 3:1 Portland Fire (Portland) Leagues Cup | America vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84:86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Unión de Santa Fe (Union Santa Fe) 2:1 Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) Argentina Primera Division | Union Santa Fe vs Lanus Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Lincoln Red Imps 1:1 AC Omonia (Omonia Nicosia) Europa League | Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Kuopion Palloseura 1:1 Uni Craiova Europa League | Kuopion Palloseura vs Uni Craiova Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 2:1 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) Club Friendlies | Napoli vs Osasuna Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Larne F.C. (Larne FC) 0:0 Iberia Europa League | Larne vs Iberia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Sky 101:106 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 209.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Puebla vs Guadalajara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Las Vegas Aces 104:99 New York Liberty WNBA | LV +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Girona FC 3:3 Castellon Club Friendlies | Girona vs Castellon Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Girona FC 3:3 Castellon Club Friendlies | Girona vs Castellon Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 0:2 Libertad Loja Ecuador LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | AS Cannes 3:3 AS Roma Club Friendlies | AS Cannes vs Roma Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Torino FC 0:1 Cittadella Club Friendlies | Torino vs Cittadella Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | US Lecce 2:2 NK Istra 1961 Club Friendlies | Lecce vs Istra 1961 Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | FC Dynamo Kyiv (FK Dynamo Kyiv) 2:3 PAOK FC (PAOK) Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Cagliari Calcio 0:0 U.C. Sampdoria (Sampdoria) Club Friendlies | Cagliari vs Sampdoria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:2 FC Dallas MLS | Portland vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire 97:101 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Portland winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0:1 America Liga MX | Queretaro vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 88:92 Golden NBA Summer League | GSW -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Pumas UNAM 0:3 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Pumas UNAM record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Juarez 0:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Juarez vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | TIJ -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Charlotte 90:92 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Under 209.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90:99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Toronto to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Atlanta 64:96 Memphis NBA Summer League | MEM -27.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | New 77:87 Golden NBA Summer League | GSW -6.5 | Won |