Kalshi · Football
sumlightbullshi is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 79.3% win rate, $962 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 44 won, 16 lost, 73.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 35 | 35 | 26 | 74.3% |
| MLS | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Nations League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
sumlightbullshi mainly predicts World Cup: 35 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 79.3% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $962, ROI 43.0%. In World Cup, 26 of 35 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-10 09:21 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Louisville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 0:3 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | Saint Louis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 0:3 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | New York RB wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 4:0 Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) Intl Friendlies | Argentina wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Benfica Lisbon W 0:3 Bayern W Women's Champions League | Benfica Lisbon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 3:0 Andorra Intl Friendlies | Andorra wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | USA 4:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 1:0 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Santos Laguna wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Nevada Wolf Pack 33:36 Air Force Falcons NCAAF | Air Force wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 31:24 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Mississippi St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Colombia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | LSU Tigers 35:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | LSU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:2 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | Saint Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Atlanta 2:3 Orlando MLS | Orlando wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Atlanta 2:3 Orlando MLS | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | POR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Colorado 4:3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Colorado Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | BRA -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | BRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal win the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | FRA +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | St. Louis 3:2 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Won |