Kalshi · Football
tax.sauce3 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 68 picks, 64.7% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 31 | 31 | 16 | 51.6% |
| FIFA World Cup | 25 | 25 | 14 | 56.0% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
tax.sauce3 mainly predicts MLB: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.7% hit rate over 68 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 13.0%. In MLB, 16 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-15 12:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Team Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Athletics 6:9 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | New York Mets 4:3 Washington Nationals MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 3:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Team Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Angels 1:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Angels 1:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 3:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Minnesota Twins 1:9 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 7:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:1 New York Yankees MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | New Orleans Saints 20:24 Jacksonville Jaguars NFL | Over 36.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 12:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Kansas City to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 New York Yankees MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Reds 1:0 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Atlanta Falcons 7:27 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 43.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Reds 1:0 Miami Marlins MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | CHC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | F5 Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Team Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Washington Nationals 7:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Chicago WS 5:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 5:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10:4 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Cleveland Guardians 5:6 New York Mets MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:10 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Baltimore Orioles 5:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Baltimore First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Team Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Memphis 90:94 Golden NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | the final score after extra time be Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Ousmane Dembele: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Julian Alvarez: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ARG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Team Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |