Kalshi · Football
the.badger is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 68 picks, 67.7% win rate, $240 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 39 won, 21 lost, 65.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 51 | 51 | 36 | 70.6% |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Israeli Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
the.badger mainly predicts World Cup: 51 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.7% hit rate over 68 orders, P&L $240, ROI 17.9%. In World Cup, 36 of 51 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Louisville Cardinals 41:31 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Maccabi Tel Aviv F.C. (Maccabi Tel Aviv FC) 4:1 Hapoel Tel Aviv F.C. (Hapoel Tel Aviv FC) Israeli Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Milwaukee Brewers 20:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:41 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Under 42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | LFC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Regulation Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina: 6+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England: 5+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Morocco: 4+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Colombia: 5+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt: 5+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England: 7+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | ENG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | GER -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR: 5+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | MAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | BRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Croatia: 6+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Iraq: 3+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay: 7+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Spain: 8+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium: 7+ corners | Lost |