Kalshi · Football
thechezzbets is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 24 picks, 70.8% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 54 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 54 have settled: 30 won, 24 lost, 55.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 32 | 32 | 21 | 65.6% |
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
thechezzbets mainly predicts World Cup: 32 of the last 54 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.8% hit rate over 24 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 31.6%. In World Cup, 21 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-15 03:59 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Reds 1:0 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 10:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Angels 5:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Athletics 4:8 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | F5 TB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Seattle Mariners 1:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:2 Colorado Rockies MLB | St. Louis be the Colorado vs St. Louis first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Milwaukee Brewers 6:8 Minnesota Twins MLB | Milwaukee be the Minnesota vs Milwaukee first 5 innings winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Atlanta Braves 11:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 0:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Mariners 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Seattle Mariners 8:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Cincinnati 0:1 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Miami 8:4 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Miami 2:0 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | SUI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | OG Anunoby: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | San Antonio 118:91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Won |