Kalshi · Basketball
tough.jazz is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 69.6% win rate, $466 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 52 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 52 have settled: 26 won, 26 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 24 | 24 | 17 | 70.8% |
| MLB | 18 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% |
| NBA | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| NFL | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| CFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
tough.jazz mainly predicts WNBA: 24 of the last 52 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.6% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $466, ROI 34.1%. In WNBA, 17 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-22 04:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Jacksonville Jaguars 17:34 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Dallas Wings 91:85 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | HOU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Under 166.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Las Vegas Aces 104:99 New York Liberty WNBA | LV -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Chicago WS 6:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Chicago Cubs 1:5 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Atlanta Braves 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Atlanta Braves 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Houston Astros 5:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 15:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Colorado Rockies 0:8 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Kansas City Royals 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6:5 Athletics MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Colorado Rockies 3:7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Toronto Blue Jays 1:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Kansas City Royals 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Edmonton Elks British Columbia Lions CFL | EDM +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Boston Red Sox 10:0 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 163.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Toronto Tempo 75:83 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 162.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Sparks 106:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Toronto Tempo 75:83 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 165.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | PHX +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Golden State Valkyries 78:75 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 164.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Chicago Sky 124:94 Portland Fire WNBA | CHI +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Golden State Valkyries 78:75 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Golden State winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Las Vegas Aces 99:84 Dallas Wings WNBA | LV -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Indiana Fever 109:111 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | IND +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Phoenix Mercury 93:73 Seattle Storm WNBA | Over 162.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Atlanta Dream 113:96 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 177.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Indiana Fever 101:108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | New York Liberty 86:64 Washington Mystics WNBA | Under 173.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Las Vegas Aces 100:97 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Under 179.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Portland Fire 84:83 Dallas Wings WNBA | DAL +8.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Portland Fire 89:105 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | First Half Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-08 | Connecticut Sun 80:89 New York Liberty WNBA | NY -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | SAS -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | Indiana Fever 83:71 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | Seattle Storm 68:72 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Under 160.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-03 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | SAS -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | Los Angeles Sparks 69:79 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | LV -5.5 | Won |