Kalshi · Football
tsmitty is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 63.2% win rate, $409 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 27 | 17 | 63.0% |
| NCAAF | 14 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% |
| NFL | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| MLB | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| UAE Pro League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
tsmitty mainly predicts World Cup: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $409, ROI 23.4%. In World Cup, 17 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 06:17 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Georgia Bulldogs 24:27 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | Georgia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Kansas State Wildcats 35:24 Kansas Jayhawks NCAAF | Kansas St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Texas Longhorns 24:27 Florida Gators NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | USC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Northwestern wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Toledo Rockets 49:48 Temple Owls NCAAF | Toledo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:41 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas A&M Aggies 21:31 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | Texas A&M wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Louisville Cardinals 41:31 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1:2 Austin FC MLS | Vancouver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers 37:59 Chicago Bears NFL | Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game: Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 20:13 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game: Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Eastern Illinois Panthers 35:42 Indiana State Sycamores NCAAF | Indiana St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kentucky Wildcats 17:45 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Alabama wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | BYU Cougars 28:17 Arizona NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Al-Nasr 2:2 Kalba FC (Ittihad Kalba) UAE Pro League | Al-Nasr vs Ittihad Kalba Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Detroit Tigers 5:9 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Reds 1:0 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Washington Nationals 6:8 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Detroit Tigers 6:4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Seattle 6:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |