Polymarket · Football · Baseball · Whale
AlexanderTheBait is a Conference League pro on Polymarket: 253 picks, 68.8% win rate, $305K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 44 won, 16 lost, 73.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference League | 27 | 27 | 19 | 70.4% |
| La Liga | 12 | 12 | 10 | 83.3% |
| Scottish Premiership | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| AFCON | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Champions League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
AlexanderTheBait mainly predicts Conference League: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 253 orders, P&L $305K, ROI 23.6%. In Conference League, 19 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2025-12-29 18:48 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Equatorial Guinea men's national association football team (Equatorial Guinea) 1:3 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) AFCON | Algeria to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-29 | Uganda men's national basketball team (Uganda) 1:3 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) AFCON | Nigeria to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-27 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1:1 Mali men's national basketball team (Mali) AFCON | Morocco to win | Won |
| 2025-12-26 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) AFCON | Egypt to win | Won |
| 2025-12-24 | Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) 1:1 Dundee United F.C. (Dundee United FC) Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen FC to win | Won |
| 2025-12-24 | Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) 2:1 Tanzania men's national football team (Tanzania) AFCON | Nigeria to win | Won |
| 2025-12-23 | Dundee F.C. (Dundee FC) 1:0 Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) Scottish Premiership | Falkirk FC to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-22 | Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) 1:0 Motherwell F.C. (Motherwell FC) Scottish Premiership | Rangers FC to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-22 | Athletic Club (Athletic Bilbao) 1:2 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona La Liga | Athletic Club to win | Won |
| 2025-12-21 | Girona 0:3 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Girona FC to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-20 | Kilmarnock F.C. (Kilmarnock FC) 0:1 Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock FC to win | Won |
| 2025-12-20 | Levante UD 1:1 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Levante UD to win | Won |
| 2025-12-20 | Levante UD 1:1 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win | Won |
| 2025-12-20 | Real Madrid 2:0 Sevilla La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2025-12-19 | Legia Warsaw (Legia Warszawa) 4:1 Lincoln Red Imps F.C. (Lincoln Red Imps FC) Conference League | Legia Warszawa to win | Won |
| 2025-12-19 | AC Sparta Prague (AC Sparta Praha) 3:0 Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) Conference League | AC Sparta Praha to win | Won |
| 2025-12-18 | AEK Lárnakas 1:0 KF Shkëndija 79 Conference League | AEK Lárnakas to win | Won |
| 2025-12-18 | Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) 3:0 KF Drita (FC Drita) Conference League | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Won |
| 2025-12-14 | RC Celta de Vigo 2:0 Athletic Club (Athletic Bilbao) La Liga | RC Celta de Vigo to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-13 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 2:1 Valencia CF La Liga | Club Atlético de Madrid to win | Won |
| 2025-12-13 | Deportivo Alavés 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2025-12-12 | Lincoln Red Imps F.C. (Lincoln Red Imps FC) 2:1 SK Sigma Olomouc Conference League | Lincoln Red Imps FC to win | Won |
| 2025-12-12 | SK Rapid Wien AS Omónoia Leukosías Conference League | AS Omónoia Leukosías to win | Won |
| 2025-12-12 | HNK Rijeka 3:0 NK Celje Conference League | HNK Rijeka to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-12 | HNK Rijeka 3:0 NK Celje Conference League | NK Celje to win | Won |
| 2025-12-11 | Ħamrun Spartans FC 0:2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk Conference League | FK Shakhtar Donetsk to win | Won |
| 2025-12-11 | Kuopion Palloseura (Kuopion PS) 0:0 FC Lausanne-Sport Conference League | FC Lausanne-Sport to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-11 | Universitatea Craiova CS 1:2 AC Sparta Prague (AC Sparta Praha) Conference League | AC Sparta Praha to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-11 | Lech Poznań (KKS Lech Poznań) 1:1 1. FSV Mainz 05 Conference League | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Won |
| 2025-12-11 | Raków Częstochowa (RKS Raków Częstochowa) 1:0 HŠK Zrinjski Mostar Conference League | RKS Raków Częstochowa to win | Won |
| 2025-12-11 | Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Conference League | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-11 | KF Shkëndija 79 2:0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava Conference League | ŠK Slovan Bratislava to win | Won |
| 2025-12-11 | Samsunspor FC (Samsunspor) 1:2 A.E.K. (AEK) Conference League | Samsunspor to win | Won |
| 2025-12-11 | Athletic Club 0:0 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2025-12-11 | Villarreal CF (Villarreal) 2:3 F.C. Copenhagen (FC København) Champions League | Villarreal CF to win | Won |
| 2025-12-11 | Real Madrid 1:2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2025-12-07 | F.C. Copenhagen (FC København) 0:2 Sønderjyske Fodbold Danish Superliga | FC København to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-06 | Villarreal CF (Villarreal) 2:0 Getafe La Liga | Villarreal to win | Won |
| 2025-12-05 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro EC) 2:2 Botafogo F.R. (Botafogo FR) Brasileiro Serie A | Botafogo FR to win | Won |
| 2025-12-04 | Esporte Clube Juventude (EC Juventude) 0:3 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) Brasileiro Serie A | EC Juventude to win | Won |
| 2025-12-04 | Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) 0:0 Motherwell F.C. (Motherwell FC) Scottish Premiership | Falkirk FC to win | Won |
| 2025-12-03 | Athletic Club (Athletic Bilbao) 0:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid to win | Won |
| 2025-12-02 | Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) 1:1 Valencia CF La Liga | Rayo Vallecano to win | Won |
| 2025-11-30 | Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) 0:0 Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) Scottish Premiership | Rangers FC to win | Won |
| 2025-11-30 | Boca Juniors (CA Boca Juniors) 1:0 Argentinos Juniors (AA Argentinos Juniors) Argentina Primera Division | CA Boca Juniors to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-30 | Angers SCO 1:2 R.C. Lens (Racing Club de Lens) Ligue 1 | Angers SCO to win | Won |
| 2025-11-30 | AS Monaco FC 1:0 Paris Saint-Germain FC Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2025-11-29 | Girona 1:1 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:0 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | CF Cruz Azul to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | ACF Fiorentina 0:1 A.E.K. (AEK) Conference League | AEK to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) 1:1 FC Noah (Noah FA) Conference League | Aberdeen FC to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | Legia Warsaw (Legia Warszawa) 0:1 AC Sparta Prague (AC Sparta Praha) Conference League | AC Sparta Praha to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-28 | Jagiellonia Białystok 1:0 Kuopion Palloseura (Kuopion PS) Conference League | Jagiellonia Białystok to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-28 | Shamrock Rovers F.C. (Shamrock Rovers FC) 1:2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk Conference League | FK Shakhtar Donetsk to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-28 | ACF Fiorentina 0:1 A.E.K. (AEK) Conference League | ACF Fiorentina to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | HNK Rijeka 0:0 AEK Lárnakas Conference League | HNK Rijeka to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 2:1 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Conference League | Crystal Palace FC to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | Universitatea Craiova CS 1. FSV Mainz 05 Conference League | Universitatea Craiova CS to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2:1 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Conference League | ŠK Slovan Bratislava to win | Won |
| 2025-11-28 | Ħamrun Spartans FC 3:1 Lincoln Red Imps F.C. (Lincoln Red Imps FC) Conference League | Lincoln Red Imps FC to win | Lost |