Kalshi · Baseball
improved.weasel0947 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 76.2% win rate, $641 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 43 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 43 have settled: 24 won, 19 lost, 55.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 22 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% |
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
improved.weasel0947 mainly predicts MLB: 22 of the last 43 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.2% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $641, ROI 24.1%. In MLB, 16 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-23 09:20 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 6:5 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Angeles Angels 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | San Diego Padres 8:7 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Houston Astros 5:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Chicago Cubs 11:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | New York Yankees 2:0 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Colorado Rockies 3:7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Seattle Mariners 8:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Cleveland Guardians 13:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Toronto Blue Jays 1:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 8:3 New York Mets MLB | MIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | USA wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA wins 4-1 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |