Kalshi · Baseball
HeyBigErnie is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 28 picks, 71.4% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 29 | 29 | 21 | 72.4% |
| WNBA | 15 | 15 | 11 | 73.3% |
| NCAAF | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
HeyBigErnie mainly predicts MLB: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.4% hit rate over 28 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 35.9%. In MLB, 21 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-11-15 00:40 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | SMU Mustangs 7:49 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | SMU wins | Lost |
| 2026-11-02 | Washington Commanders 27:10 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Over 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | New York Liberty 83:85 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 173.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:17 BYU Cougars NCAAF | BYU +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Golden State Valkyries 77:73 Dallas Wings WNBA | Under 162.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | VT +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Northwestern Wildcats 34:13 Penn St. NCAAF | Penn St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | CLE +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | CWS +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Clemson wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Philadelphia 1:4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Nevada Wolf Pack 7:20 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | Montana St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle 5:10 Texas MLB | TEX +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Seattle 5:10 Texas MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | San Francisco Giants 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 6:21 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | UNLV wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Houston Astros 2:0 Chicago WS MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Minnesota Lynx 66:80 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Minnesota Lynx 66:80 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | MIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Seattle Mariners 9:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Chicago Sky 90:113 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Portland Fire 100:105 Washington Mystics WNBA | Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Chicago Sky 90:113 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | New York Yankees 8:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles Sparks 77:68 Connecticut Sun WNBA | LA +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:11 Cincinnati Reds MLB | AZ +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Cleveland Browns 7:31 Buffalo Bills NFL | Under 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Chicago Sky 73:70 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | CHI +8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Astros 4:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Texas Rangers 2:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Washington Mystics 93:82 Toronto Tempo WNBA | WSH +18.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Houston Astros 3:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Toronto Tempo 95:101 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78:70 Dallas Wings WNBA | GS +16.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Minnesota Twins 4:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Phoenix Mercury 85:88 Portland Fire WNBA | PHX +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Washington Mystics 80:70 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | WSH -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 7:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | New York Mets 4:1 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Miami Marlins 1:13 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:6 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 88:92 Golden NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Lost |