Kalshi · Baseball
downz1 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 48 picks, 64.6% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 36 won, 24 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 50 | 50 | 31 | 62.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| VCT Masters London | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
downz1 mainly predicts MLB: 50 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.6% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 41.1%. In MLB, 31 of 50 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-17 00:19 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tampa Bay Rays 2:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Angels 1:0 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles A First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Chicago WS 8:9 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS first 5 innings tie | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Miami Marlins 1:13 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Miami first 5 innings tie | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Yankees 0:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:6 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Athletics 4:8 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs A's First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals 8:2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Washington First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Seattle Mariners 1:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Kansas City Royals 3:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Kansas City First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Cleveland Guardians 5:6 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | New York Yankees 7:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3:0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 5:0 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Athletics 1:13 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Toronto First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Seattle Mariners 3:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | New York Mets 4:2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs New York M First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Minnesota Twins 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:2 Seattle Mariners MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Boston Red Sox 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Yankees 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Angels 1:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Pittsburgh Pirates 14:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85:91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | SAC -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Miami 8:4 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Detroit 4:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Detroit First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Tampa Bay 3:0 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle 4:0 Toronto MLB | Toronto vs Seattle First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Atlanta 9:10 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Cleveland 6:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Houston 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Washington 1:7 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | New York Yankees 4:11 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota vs New York Y First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Washington 9:5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Chicago Cubs 1:17 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Texas 10:4 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Texas First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Philadelphia 1:6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Milwaukee 3:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 7:9 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Milwaukee 3:4 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Detroit 6:8 Houston MLB | Houston vs Detroit First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | BEL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 11:1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Pittsburgh First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Miami 4:2 Texas MLB | Texas vs Miami First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | San Diego 1:0 Atlanta MLB | Atlanta vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Leviatán Esports 3:2 Paper Rex VCT Masters London | Paper Rex to win | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |