Kalshi · Baseball
fatigue1is1real is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 68.4% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 35 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 35 have settled: 22 won, 13 lost, 62.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 21 | 21 | 14 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
fatigue1is1real mainly predicts MLB: 21 of the last 35 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.4% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 26.7%. In MLB, 14 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-13 08:45 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Golden State Valkyries 91–71 Chicago Sky WNBA | GS +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 10–5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Sparks 87–94 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Indiana Fever 106–92 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Seattle Storm 97–88 Chicago Sky WNBA | CHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Dream 107–95 Toronto Tempo WNBA | ATL +16.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2–1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7–2 Houston Astros MLB | HOU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78–84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7–2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 78–84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees 1–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Portland Fire 100–93 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals 8–2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Kansas City Royals 4–6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 13–1 Athletics MLB | BOS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30–33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina to win | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Indiana Fever 84–86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | LV -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Indiana Fever 84–86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | IND -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3–2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Boston Red Sox 4–0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 5–0 Washington Nationals MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Chicago Cubs 10–5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101–106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx 108–100 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Baltimore Orioles 3–2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia Phillies 1–3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington Nationals 5–3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2–3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2–3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |